As of May 15th, the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has officially begun, and while it extends through November 30th, the peak activity for Los Cabos, Baja California Sur, typically occurs later in the season, primarily from August through October, with September historically seeing the most significant tropical weather.
What Does Hurricane Season Mean for Los Cabos Travelers and Locals?
For both Los Cabos visitors and residents, the start of hurricane season generally means an increase in monitoring weather patterns and a renewed focus on preparedness. While direct hurricane landfalls in Baja California Sur are relatively rare, tropical storms and their effects – such as increased winds, larger waves, and rain – are more common.
It’s important to remember that Los Cabos is well-versed in hurricane preparedness. Local authorities, hotels, and businesses have established protocols to ensure the safety of everyone in the region, making it a safe destination even during this period.
Los Cabos Weather Outlook & What to Expect for 2025
- Early Season Activity: We’ve already seen the first named storm of the season, Tropical Storm Alvin, which formed recently in the Eastern Pacific. While Alvin is expected to weaken and not make direct landfall as a tropical storm in Baja California Sur, it’s a good reminder that the season is indeed underway.
- Official Forecasts: Mexico’s National Water Commission (CONAGUA) has estimated a near-average to slightly above-average season for the Eastern Pacific. Their forecasts range from 8 to 9 tropical storms, 4 to 5 Category 1 and 2 hurricanes, and 4 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5). While Baja California Sur is the state most affected by these phenomena in Mexico, it’s important to note that only a small portion of these storms are likely to directly impact the region.
- El Niño/La Niña: The overall impact of the season is also influenced by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate cycle. For 2025, “neutral” conditions are expected, meaning average water temperatures, which can still support tropical cyclone development.
- Typical Los Cabos Weather: During Los Cabos hurricane season, particularly in August and September, you can expect higher temperatures and increased humidity, along with the possibility of rain. September is historically the wettest month in Los Cabos. [Weather in Los Cabos, When to plan your visit!]
Staying Prepared: Essential Tips for Los Cabos Visitors & Residents
Even though direct impacts are less frequent, preparedness is key. Here are some essential tips for a safe Los Cabos vacation or living experience:
- Stay Informed: Monitor official weather forecasts from reliable sources like the National Hurricane Center and local Mexican weather authorities (like SMN/CONAGUA). Many Los Cabos hotels also provide guests with regular updates.
- Travel Insurance: If you’re planning a trip to Los Cabos during hurricane season, consider purchasing travel insurance that covers natural disasters and trip interruptions.
- Emergency Kit: For Los Cabos residents, ensure you have an emergency kit with essentials like water, non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, and batteries.
- Hotel Protocols: If you’re staying at a Los Cabos resort, familiarize yourself with their specific hurricane policies and evacuation plans.
- Communication: Keep your mobile phone charged and have a list of emergency contacts, including your embassy (for international visitors) and your hotel’s front desk.
- Flexibility: Be prepared for potential changes to outdoor activities, as Los Cabos marine excursions and certain beaches may be temporarily closed due to weather conditions. [Discover all the Activities Los Cabos has for you]
The beauty and vibrancy of Los Cabos, Mexico, endure through all seasons. By staying informed and taking sensible precautions, we can all contribute to a safe and enjoyable experience as we navigate the upcoming months of the Pacific hurricane season.
